This is nothing short of a game changer. I believe that this will change the way we do several things.
1. Paper Books will become obsolete in 5 years. The cost of publishing in hard copy is way higher in time and money than an eBook. This will have the same affect on publishing as iTunes has on music. It will create tons of indie book publishers. The market will dictate whose books are popular not the big 6 publishers. Text books will come way down in price and will be more timely and accurate.
2. This will more or less replace laptops in 5 years for the casual user. There is no need for a laptop unless you are using power apps for music or video, etc. As more and more apps operate in the browser, the need for loads of disc goes away. For student, just purchase the keyboard dock and type your papers. All their books will be on the device. Imagine cutting and pasting your quotes from the device to the device.
3. This will become your personal television. I predicted that there would be integration between TV and the web about 10 years ago. This is it. Look at the MLB.com app. You can watch the game and get all kinds of real time info on the trajectory of last pitch thrown, the park, stats, batting order, etc. Awesome. With Hulu and Boxee you and this kind of device, you really have to question why you need a cable service at all. By the way, it will hook up to your TV so you can watch on the big screen if you wish. Imagine witching say 24 and being able to get little bits of data about character history etc. that just pops up. Then eventually, "what kind of car is that?" click for more info... They really did something smart here by making the screen viewable at a 45 degree angle from each side so that you can sit with two friends and look at something.
4. There will be no such thing as a daytimer.
5. The halo effect on MS Office will be huge. Once people get used to iWork on their iPads, they will not want to go back. You can save from these apps into MS formats for compatibility but why would you want to. iPads start replacing MS laptops all over the commercial sector by 2012.
6. By 2015, Apple is outpacing Windows machines in new unit sales. (I predicted this would happen by 2015 when the iPod came out) I'm sticking to it. Apple sales exceed 150 Million is gross revenues. Microsoft will still own the backend server market but Apple will make great advances there as well as more and more IT people become Mac people for their personal computing. Universities will lead the way but all of the leading innovators in our culture will lead the rest into the better future of a Unix based world.
7. The world will become comfortable with cloud computing by 2015 which will free the world from having the app dictate the user interface. This will bring about the downfall of MS as the owner of the desktop unless they counter will something uncharacteristically innovative before it is too late.
My .02
Peter
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